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Friday, October 28, 2011

Everyone knows that clouds make the stars disappear


It seems that every day or two I read an article claiming that the earth's temperature is going down or up or is stable or something.

Actually temperature measurements are known as "lagging" indicators and have no real meaning as to what is causing them. Think of your home's thermostat showing "72 degrees." What caused them was either the heating system or the cooling system.

Same for CO2. It is a lagging indicator. It increases AFTER the temperature increases. That means that it is an EFFECT, not a CAUSE.

So when hoaxers mumble over temperature they are like ancient men counting the stars on a cloudy night and then on a clear night. They know that there are more on a clear night but they have no understanding of why. And since they can see fewer on a cloudy night it is obvious to them that clouds cause stars to disappear.

Why it's the clouds. Anyone can see that. And everyone agrees. They have consensus.

But they can't tell anyone why. They can't predict when the clouds will appear. All they can do is claim that everyone agrees.

But the basis for science is this. Theories must be proven by repeatable experiments.

Without that, no matter how many people agree, a theory remains a theory.

And consenus is meaningless.

And only fools will give power and money to people who claim that the stars disappear because the clouds have destroyed them.

But we now have a repeatable experiment.

In this chamber, 63 CERN scientists from 17 European and American institutes have done what global warming doomsayers said could never be done — – demonstrate that cosmic rays can seed clouds, and that the more that cosmic rays reach Earth’s atmosphere, the cloudier it will be. Because the sun’s magnetic field controls how many cosmic rays reach Earth’s atmosphere (the stronger the sun’s magnetic field, the more it shields Earth from incoming cosmic rays from space), the sun determines the temperature on Earth.

Link

That's pretty simple. It is also repeatable. And it has the further advantage of the long held knowledge that volcanoes eruptioning into the atmosphere reflect sunlight and cause cooling. In fact, it was the fear by the anti-war crowd back in the 60's and 70's that numerous massive nuclear explosions would cause so much dust into the air that a nuclear winter would result and wipe out civilization if not all life.

This is is also the basis for the widely held theory that a huge meteor struck the earth ages ago in what is now the Caribbean. The massive explosion tossed so much dust in the air that the resulting temperature drop killed off the reptiles that ruled the earth.

And it was predictable:

Dr. Kenneth Tapping is worried about the sun. Solar activity comes in regular cycles, but the latest one is refusing to start. Sunspots have all but vanished, and activity is suspiciously quiet. The last time this happened was 400 years ago -- and it signaled a solar event known as a "Maunder Minimum," along with the start of what we now call the "Little Ice Age."

Tapping, a solar researcher and project director for Canada's National Research Council, says it may be happening again. Overseeing a giant radio telescope he calls a "stethoscope for the sun," Tapping says, if the pattern doesn't change quickly, the earth is in for some very chilly weather.

During the Little Ice Age, global temperatures dropped sharply. New York Harbor froze hard enough to allow people to walk from Manhattan to Staten Island, and in Britain, people reported sighting eskimos paddling canoes off the coast. Glaciers in Norway grew up to 100 meters a year, destroying farms and villages.

Link

So instead of wasting time and money on silly measurements of the temperature on earth, we would be wise to follow the magnetic field of the sun.

Not that we can do anything whatsoever about it.

But at least we would know whether we should buy long underwear or bathing suits.

"Unlimited tolerance must lead to the disappearance of tolerance. If we extend unlimited tolerance even to those who are intolerant, if we are not prepared to defend a tolerant society against the onslaught of the intolerant, then the tolerant will be destroyed, and tolerance with them." - Karl Popper

“Necessity is the plea for every infringement of human freedom. It is the argument of tyrants. It is the creed of slaves.” - William Pitt

"Logic. There is little logic among the cultural elite, maybe because there is little omnipresent fear of job losses or the absence of money, and so arises a rather comfortable margin to indulge in nonsense." - Victor Davis Hanson