Wednesday, September 21, 2011

Two hundred and seventy one year old business closes down


For nearly two decades the Marlborough Tavern prospered near the center of town off Route 2. When gas prices spiked several summers ago, business took a big hit.

"It fell right off a cliff. It went down from June of 2008 to July of 2008," Bradley recalled

In many respects businesses are like old people. They are doing fine until they break a hip then they can't quite recover and then pneumonia comes along and kills them.

Along with his co-owner, he put money into the business to keep it afloat for the last three years, but with business down nearly a third it became too much. Bradley says the losses of food after Tropical Storm Irene disrupted his cash flow too much and he needed to shut the Tavern's doors.

The increase in gasoline prices prevented a recovery and like the old person and pneumonia the disaster they could have survived if business had not been bad for three years kills them.

That's about as simple and easy to understand as anything I can think of yet our politicians can't seem to grasp it.

Link

submit to reddit OnTwitter I am Lesabre1

"Unlimited tolerance must lead to the disappearance of tolerance. If we extend unlimited tolerance even to those who are intolerant, if we are not prepared to defend a tolerant society against the onslaught of the intolerant, then the tolerant will be destroyed, and tolerance with them." - Karl Popper

“Necessity is the plea for every infringement of human freedom. It is the argument of tyrants. It is the creed of slaves.” - William Pitt

"Logic. There is little logic among the cultural elite, maybe because there is little omnipresent fear of job losses or the absence of money, and so arises a rather comfortable margin to indulge in nonsense." - Victor Davis Hanson

9 Things That Will Disappear In Our Lifetime


Jimmy M sent me this list. Kinda interesting. I’ve added some comments in italics.

Whether these changes are good or bad depends in part on how we adapt to them. But, ready or not, here they come. . .

1. The Post Office
Get ready to imagine a world without the post office. They are so deeply in financial trouble that there is probably no way to sustain it long term. Email, Fed Ex, and UPS have just about wiped out the minimum revenue needed to keep the post office alive. Most of your mail every day is junk mail and bills.

Me: Given that companies exist that could assume the tasks of the USPS, maybe. But that assumes that Congress would let them charge what they want for the services. I lay 10 to 1 that it won’t happen.

2. The Check
Britain is already laying the groundwork to do away with chegks by 2018. It costs the financial system billions of dollars a year to process cheques. Plastic cards and online transactions will lead to the eventual demise of the check. This plays right into the death of the post office. If you never paid your bills by mail and never received them by mail, the post office would absolutely go out of business.

Me: This assumes that everyone will have Internet access. I don’t know what the current percentage of people having Internet access is but it is probably less than 70%. I lay 100 to 1 it won’t happen in the foreseeable future.

3. The Newspaper
The younger generation simply doesn't read the newspaper. They certainly don't subscribe to a daily delivered print edition. That may go the way of the milkman and the laundry man. As for reading the paper online, get ready to pay for it. The rise in mobile Internet devices and e-readers has caused all the newspaper and magazine publishers to form an alliance. They have met with Apple, Amazon, and the major cell phone companies to develop a model for paid subscription services.

Me: Again this assumes that everyone has Internet access. They don’t. As for paying for it, perhaps. But the market is not as large as they think. I lay 100 to 1 that newspapers won’t disappear in the foreseeable future.

4. The Book
You say you will never give up the physical book that you hold in your hand and turn the literal pages. I said the same thing about downloading music from iTunes. I wanted my hard copy CD. But I quickly changed my mind when I discovered that I could get albums for half the price without ever leaving home to get the latest music. The same thing will happen with books. You can browse a bookstore online and even read a preview chapter before you buy. And the price is less than half that of a real book. And think of the convenience! Once you start flicking your fingers on the screen instead of the book, you find that you are lost in the story, can't wait to see what happens next, and you forget that you're holding a gadget instead of a book.

Me: Again this assumes that everyone has Internet access. Again, they don’t. I gave my grandson a Kindle. It’s neat. He’d rather read a paper book. Plus, there is a market for books because there are people like me who just like the feel and smell of books. Music and video are different things. I lay 100 to 1 that books will not disappear in the foreseeable future.

5. The Land Line Telephone
Unless you have a large family and make a lot of local calls, you don't need it anymore. Most people keep it simply because they've always had it. But you are paying double charges for that extra service. All the cell phone companies will let you call customers using the same cell provider for no charge against your minutes

Me: Huh? What happens when a disaster shuts down your electric power? What will keep your cell phone charged? And what are the government regulations establishing a certain level of service? They don’t exist for cell phones. And all those “cheap” plans?? They can, and will, go away when the cell phone companies reach a certain market penetration point. I say keep your land lines for security and inexpensive Internet access you’ll need. 100 to 1 this won’t happen.

6. Music
This is one of the saddest parts of the change story. The music industry is dying a slow death. Not just because of illegal downloading. It's the lack of innovative new music being given a chance to get to the people who would like to hear it. Greed and corruption is the problem. The record labels and the radio conglomerates are simply self-destructing. Over 40% of the music purchased today is "catalogue items," meaning traditional music that the public is familiar with. Older established artists. This is also true on the live concert circuit.. To explore this fascinating and disturbing topic further, check out the book, "Appetite for Self-Destruction" by Steve Knopper, and the video documentary, "Before the Music Dies."

Me: I agree that big changes are coming. People are becoming more and more unwilling to pay big bucks for an album that may contain only 1 song they like. Thus, with internet access, or via cello phone, people will buy one or two songs at a time…. Wait! That’s what we did with the 78’s and 45’s in my youth!

7. Television
Revenues to the networks are down dramatically. Not just because of the economy. People are watching TV and movies streamed from their computers. And they're playing games and doing lots of other things that take up the time that used to be spent watching TV. Prime time shows have degenerated down to lower than the lowest common denominator. Cable rates are skyrocketing and commercials run about every 4 minutes and 30 seconds. I say good riddance to most of it. It's time for the cable companies to be put out of our misery. Let the people choose what they want to watch online and through Netflix.

Me: Years ago I attended a CATV trade show where one of the speakers said the limit wasn’t technology, but content. He was right. But again we run into the Internet access. Worse, movies and games require HIGH SPEED Internet access. That’s probably less than 45% of the country. I lay 50 to 1 that this won’t happen.

8. The "Things" That You Own
Many of the very possessions that we used to own are still in our lives, but we may not actually own them in the future. They may simply reside in "the cloud." Today your computer has a hard drive and you store your pictures, music, movies, and documents. Your software is on a CD or DVD, and you can always re-install it if need be. But all of that is changing. Apple, Microsoft, and Google are all finishing up their latest "cloud services." That means that when you turn on a computer, the Internet will be built into the operating system. So, Windows, Google, and the Mac OS will be tied straight into the Internet. If you click an icon, it will open something in the Internet cloud. If you save something, it will be saved to the cloud. And you may pay a monthly subscription fee to the cloud provider.. In this virtual world, you can access your music or your books, or your whatever from any laptop or handheld device. That's the good news. But, will you actually own any of this "stuff" or will it all be able to disappear at any moment in a big "Poof?" Will most of the things in our lives be disposable and whimsical? It makes you want to run to the closet and pull out that photo album, grab a book from the shelf, or open up a CD case and pull out the insert.

Me: Again we run into “Internet Acess.” I wonder if the guy who wrote this had any technical knowledge. Will the number of “appliances” increase? Yes. Will the home computer disappear? No. And if anyone is stupid enough to store important personal info on a server located heaven knows where… well, that’s stupid. 100 to 1 this won’t happen.

9. Privacy
If there ever was a concept that we can look back on nostalgically, it would be privacy. That's gone! It's been gone for a long time anyway. There are cameras on the street, in most of the buildings, and even built into your computer and cell phone. But you can be sure that 24/7, "They" know who you are and where you are, right down to the GPS coordinates, and the Google Street View. If you buy something, your habit is put into a zillion profiles, and your ads will change to reflect those habits. "They" will try to get you to buy something else. Again and again.

Me: Unfortunately this is true. You can do things to fight it. Call your elected reps.






submit to reddit OnTwitter I am Lesabre1

"Unlimited tolerance must lead to the disappearance of tolerance. If we extend unlimited tolerance even to those who are intolerant, if we are not prepared to defend a tolerant society against the onslaught of the intolerant, then the tolerant will be destroyed, and tolerance with them." - Karl Popper

“Necessity is the plea for every infringement of human freedom. It is the argument of tyrants. It is the creed of slaves.” - William Pitt

"Logic. There is little logic among the cultural elite, maybe because there is little omnipresent fear of job losses or the absence of money, and so arises a rather comfortable margin to indulge in nonsense." - Victor Davis Hanson

Tuesday, September 20, 2011

Obama, do we know him???




The following comes from an old friend, Larry P. I'm not sure where he got it, but my guess is that at least some of it originally came from a commentator in UrbanSurvival.

Parts supplied by Larry are quoted. My comments are in bold.

It was brought to light that back in 1961 people of color were called 'Negroes.' So how can this 'birth certificate' state he is
'African-American' when the term wasn't even used back then??

Here is a comment from a reader to George Ure at UrbanSurvival.

"As you all know, Donald Trump made a big deal about Obama's birth
certificate.

I will tell you right now that I had never given this "birther" issue any credit. I watched the hype and the crazies come out. I completely dismissed the entire ordeal altogether.

In fact, it was not until the White House released the birth certificate
that it had gained my attention. I am the studious sort of guy, and I have plenty of time on my hands. So, I took a close look at this document.

While I would have thought that this issue would have been closed for good (and, got the crazies to crawl back into their holes), I found two extremely strange inconsistencies that merit some attention.

First of all, the birth certificate that the White House released lists
Obama's birth as August 4, 1961. It also lists Barack Hussein Obama as
his father. No big deal, right? At the time of Obama's birth, it also
shows that his father is aged 25 years old, and that Obama's father was
born in " Kenya , East Africa ".

This wouldn't seem like anything of concern, except the fact that Kenya did not even exist until 1963, two whole years after Obama's birth, and 27 years after his father's birth. How could Obama's father have been born in a country that did not yet exist?

Up and until Kenya was formed in 1963, it was known as the "British East
Africa Protectorate". But, this is not the only thing that I found that
just does not jive.

Pre and Post-colonial history of Kenya

Wiki Link

Wiki Link

From the Wiki link: European and Arab presence in Mombasa dates to the Early Modern period, but European exploration of the interior began only in the 19th century. The British Empire established the East Africa Protectorate in 1895, from 1920 known as the Kenya Colony.

The other item that I looked into was the hospital that Obama was born in. On the birth certificate released by the White House, the listed place of birth is "Kapi'olani Maternity & Gynecological Hospital".

This cannot be, because the hospital(s) in question in 1961 were called "Kaui Keolani Children's Hospital" and "Kapi'olani Maternity Home",
respectively.

From the link: This is the story of two hospitals: Kauikeolani Children's Hospital and Kapi‘olani Maternity Home

The name did not change to Kapi'olani Maternity & Gynecological Hospital until 1978, when these two hospitals merged. How can this particular name of the hospital be on a birth certificate dated 1961 if this name had not yet been applied to it until 1978?

From the link: The two hospitals joined in 1978 to become Kapi‘olani Medical Center for Women & Children

Go ahead, look it up. I am not talking crazy talk, these are the facts.
Like I said, I thought that this was a non-issue until the actual certificate was released. Now that it has been released, of course I had
to look into it. I have found these issues, now I know that something is
up. If you doubt me, just look at the following resources:

Sure as hell, the hospital part is true, as you can read about the 1978
merger here.

Link

Now its not my job to vet Obama's birth certificate or analyze/refute claims that it is not true. But sometimes I think we over respond.

First, as the Wikipedia link shows, Kenya Colony was established in 1920 and known as that forward.

The link to the hospital link shows the pre 1978 merger name as Kapi‘olani Maternity Home. The birth certificate calls it “Kapi'olani Maternity & Gynecological Hospital.” The disparity between the two could be questioned, but since what we have is a Home Page produced (probably) 30 years after the merger I would guess that the name used in conversation was Kapi‘olani Maternity Home. The bureaucrat/nurse filling out the birth certificate used the legal name which was also the surviving name in the merger.

That’s not unusual. People routinely condense lengthy names.

The “Negroes” vs African-American is also interesting, but given that the father was an African national and the mother American I see the use of “African-American” in 1961 as not unusual. Especially in Hawaii due to the very high mixing of races. Chinese-American, Japanese-American. And I really have no reason to think that a mixed race child wouldn’t be identified that way.

So I see no smoking gun.

What I do see is this. Twenty four hours after Joe the Plumber had his short discussion with Obama the press had investigated him and we knew more about Joe from that 24 hour investigation than we know about Obama after 7 years.

That tells us this about the press. Obama, as a black person, was the perfect candidate for them. The press, being mostly liberal/left to the core see Obama existing only to allow them to atone for what they see as the sins of America by supporting him.

Now if they admit this he becomes a person. And a person can have failures. Strengths and weaknesses. And in a way the media's failure to vet him..... their failure to see him as a person is identical to how the Jim Crow racists of the South and around the world see blacks. They don't see blacks as "people." They see them as a group.

And if they had vetted Obama they would have discovered some bad things and some good things. And they would have had to decide if this Obama person was, on the whole, good or bad. Or at the least, made sure the country knew where he came from, what he had done, who he had associated with, what his views were.

But they did not. They failed themselves. They failed the country.

A sad saying about a group that is mentioned in the Constitution.

But we now know him. His actions speak.

And he will be a one term President.

submit to reddit OnTwitter I am Lesabre1

"Unlimited tolerance must lead to the disappearance of tolerance. If we extend unlimited tolerance even to those who are intolerant, if we are not prepared to defend a tolerant society against the onslaught of the intolerant, then the tolerant will be destroyed, and tolerance with them." - Karl Popper

“Necessity is the plea for every infringement of human freedom. It is the argument of tyrants. It is the creed of slaves.” - William Pitt

"Logic. There is little logic among the cultural elite, maybe because there is little omnipresent fear of job losses or the absence of money, and so arises a rather comfortable margin to indulge in nonsense." - Victor Davis Hanson

Sunday, September 18, 2011

I'm mad as hell


I think this video clip says it all.
submit to reddit OnTwitter I am Lesabre1

"Unlimited tolerance must lead to the disappearance of tolerance. If we extend unlimited tolerance even to those who are intolerant, if we are not prepared to defend a tolerant society against the onslaught of the intolerant, then the tolerant will be destroyed, and tolerance with them." - Karl Popper

“Necessity is the plea for every infringement of human freedom. It is the argument of tyrants. It is the creed of slaves.” - William Pitt

"Logic. There is little logic among the cultural elite, maybe because there is little omnipresent fear of job losses or the absence of money, and so arises a rather comfortable margin to indulge in nonsense." - Victor Davis Hanson

Saturday, September 17, 2011

Ford Crown Victoria and a Pig


The last Ford Crown Victoria rolled off a Canadian assembly line Thursday, marking the end of the big, heavy Ford cars that have been popular with taxi fleets and police departments for decades.

Since 1979, almost 10 million Crown Victoria, Mercury Grand Marquis and Lincoln Town Cars -- so-called Panther Platform vehicles -- have been sold.

Link

Not to be too much of a stickler...okay, I am.

The Crown Vic first came out in 1955 replacing the 1954 Crestline Skyliner.

Link

Of course it may have went out and then brought back, as in the Chevy Impala, but to the best of my knowledge the model name was a constant, if not the quality. Ford slipped as badly, if not more so, than GM and Chrysler and AMC in the late 70’s and early 80’s.

I had a 1976 model equipped with a huge V8 that would pass everything but a service station. Back then I made most of my money as a salesman and then as now face time with the customer was required to be successful.

The 55 mph speed limit was a serious problem when your territory covered 4 states of the mid south.

But equipped with a CB and a radar detector I ventured forth each work day determined to avoid the law and see enough customers to become rich and famous. Or, more likely, make enough money to pay the mortgage, buy some groceries and keep the kids in school.

Then, as now, the appeal of the car was its size and the great ride. I once hit a 100 or so pound hog doing about 75. All of the knobs bounced off the radio and the hog was launched like from a catapult. Somehow I maintained control of the vehicle and brought it to a stop. Outside of having to put the radio knobs back on the only damage was a thin coating of what can best be described as unprocessed hog manure on the hood and windshield.

It was a smelly mess. Thank goodness my windshield washer/wipers were in prime condition.

A 2011 anything would have either bounced the hog up allowing me to run into it with my windshield or bounced over the unfortunate animal causing the car to flip. Either way I would have been dead or severely injured.

And Obama's experts can't figure out why Americans are partial to large cars.

After I got the car stopped I turned around and drove back to the spot of impact, which was in front of a small farm house with a barn a 100 yards or so from it. Standing beside the road was a farmer.

Now Tennessee had a fence law which said that you must keep your livestock penned and that you are responsible for all damage they do if they get outside the fence. An interesting law in that it has led to the belief that any “escaped” stock that has done any damage by, say, getting hit by a car automatically becomes free agents of unknown ownership.

But not in this case.

“Was that your hog?” I asked the farmer who had dragged the hog back to the side of the road.

“Mister, you didn’t need to hit my hog,” he replied with a look that said, “That was my winter’s meat you asshole. Wait right here while I go get my shotgun.”

I decided that sometimes things should just be left alone, got back in the pig shit covered Vic and drove away.

At the next small town I stopped, filled up with gasoline, washed the car off and called the highway patrol to report the “accident.”

“Any damage to the car?” the patrolman asked.

“Not really,” I said, “but I just want to make sure there’s a record in case I find some and decide to sue the farmer.”

After a lengthy pause.

“Now, who did you say you worked for? And it is a company owned car?”

I gave him the name and confirmed that it was the company’s car.

“Sir,” he said, “you want to sue a farmer after killing one of his hogs in a local court?”

“I might,” I said not sure as to the direction the conversation was taking.

“Well,” he said, “you can certainly do that but my guess is before that trial gets done the farmer will own the car, your employer and you.”

For the first time in my life I truly understood “Home Field Advantage.”


submit to reddit OnTwitter I am Lesabre1

"Unlimited tolerance must lead to the disappearance of tolerance. If we extend unlimited tolerance even to those who are intolerant, if we are not prepared to defend a tolerant society against the onslaught of the intolerant, then the tolerant will be destroyed, and tolerance with them." - Karl Popper

“Necessity is the plea for every infringement of human freedom. It is the argument of tyrants. It is the creed of slaves.” - William Pitt

"Logic. There is little logic among the cultural elite, maybe because there is little omnipresent fear of job losses or the absence of money, and so arises a rather comfortable margin to indulge in nonsense." - Victor Davis Hanson

Friday, September 16, 2011

Hitler and AttackWatch


This is seriously funny!



submit to reddit OnTwitter I am Lesabre1

"Unlimited tolerance must lead to the disappearance of tolerance. If we extend unlimited tolerance even to those who are intolerant, if we are not prepared to defend a tolerant society against the onslaught of the intolerant, then the tolerant will be destroyed, and tolerance with them." - Karl Popper

“Necessity is the plea for every infringement of human freedom. It is the argument of tyrants. It is the creed of slaves.” - William Pitt

"Logic. There is little logic among the cultural elite, maybe because there is little omnipresent fear of job losses or the absence of money, and so arises a rather comfortable margin to indulge in nonsense." - Victor Davis Hanson

Thursday, September 15, 2011

Guess who's coming to dinner?


Pass the bread, Mahmoud.

Columbia University students may get the unique chance this month to dine with madman Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad when he visits New York, according to the school's student newspaper.

In an email sent to members of the Columbia International Relations Council and Association, students are invited to a private dinner Sept. 21 in Midtown with the man whom University President Lee Bollinger introduced as “a petty and cruel dictator” when he spoke on campus in 2007.

Members of the group were notified earlier this summer that they would have a chance to bring 15 students to the dinner, The Columbia Spectator reported Saturday.
Link

One can but hope the students will be as tough on him as they have been on Palin.

submit to reddit OnTwitter I am Lesabre1

"Unlimited tolerance must lead to the disappearance of tolerance. If we extend unlimited tolerance even to those who are intolerant, if we are not prepared to defend a tolerant society against the onslaught of the intolerant, then the tolerant will be destroyed, and tolerance with them." - Karl Popper

“Necessity is the plea for every infringement of human freedom. It is the argument of tyrants. It is the creed of slaves.” - William Pitt

"Logic. There is little logic among the cultural elite, maybe because there is little omnipresent fear of job losses or the absence of money, and so arises a rather comfortable margin to indulge in nonsense." - Victor Davis Hanson